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Base metal prices keeping a downward trend (info & data)

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Important to know of Today’s market:

  • European CB President Mario Draghi Speaks
  • Bank of Canada Governor Poloz Speaks
  • UK Services Purchasing Managers Index rose to actual 55.0 (forecast was 53.3)

For more info: https://www.investing.com/

 

LME Today:

All base metal prices on the London Metal Exchange humbled today in morning trade, May 4. After a significant sell-off on Wednesday that saw copper prices down 3.7% and nickel falling 3.3%.

Three-month copper price fell further this morning as it began trading below $5,600 per tonne. Nickel price fell additionaly $150 per tonne. All other base metals saw a slight decline.

Metal Bulletin senior analyst, William Adams, said:

“The battering the base metals suffered on Wednesday has poured cold water on last week’s attempted rebounds and has opened the way for more price weakness, especially in the case of nickel where prices have dropped to levels not seen since June last year.”  (Metal Bulletin)

Copper inventories on the LME have risen by over 60,000 tonnes over the last two days.

 

Copper below $5,600/t

On Wednesday, the LME copper price plummeted by over $200 per tonne at the close of trading. Three-month copper price is down $39.50 to $5,560.50 per tonne.
Copper inventories up 32,925 tonnes to 317,850 tonnes, with 29,275 of this in Busan. It follows a rise of 31,250 tonnes yesterday.

  • Reuters wrote that German copper products group Wieland will be acquiring the copper and steel tube business Wolverine Tube as part of its plans to expand internationally.

Workers at PT Freeport Indonesia still continuing with the one-month announced strike. They are persistent & not giving up their ideas. This is reducing the copper outputs. And will surely lead to lower supplies.
 

Other base metals fall

Three-month aluminium price fell $12.50 to $1,911 per tonne.  Stocks declined 1,175 tonnes to 1,609,925 tonnes. 

“Held well against yesterday’s sell off, trading in a $19 range (vs copper that spanned $196) with evidence of consumer buying via the spreads market. Light turnover in comparison to the copper and nickel.” (F.M.)
Nickel plunged another $150 to $9,080 per tonne. Yesterday nickel prices declined $285.  Inventories were up 30 tonnes to 380,502 tonnes.
The 3month zinc price fell $26.50 to $2,548.50 per tonne. Inventories for zinc fell 2,250 tonnes to 342,475 tonnes. Glencore’s zinc production rose 9% y-o-y, with the company adding that it currently has no plans to restart idled capacity in Australia and Peru.
Lead started trading today at $2,167.60 per tonne – a decline of $34.50 on yesterday’s close. Stocks were up 5,550 tonnes to 174,250 tonnes.
The three-month tin price decreased just $60 to $19,830 per tonne as it consolidates around the $19,800-19,900 mark.
Tin stocks on the LME fell to the lowest recorded since 1980 yesterday. Stocks declined a further 35 tonnes today and currently stand at 2,630 tonnes. (Numbers from Fast Markets)

Finishing

Metal Bulletin wrote an article on data about: Spanish unemployment, services PMI across Europe, data on UK lending, EU retail sales and a host of US data including: Challenger job cuts, initial jobless claims. Also non-farm productivity, labour costs, the trade balance. Paying attention to factory orders and natural gas storage. There’s many going on today, it will also be a challenging trade for next few days.

LME: copper price up; all other base metals slightly lower this morning

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Friday April the 21st LME:

 

Copper was the only base metal which went slightly up in this mornings trade. All other base metals prices fell.

 

With the three-month aluminium price falling $2 per t and zinc dropping $10.50 per t.

“The market is looking volatile at the moment; we have had a few quiet days but have recovered from earlier week weakness.” (FastMarkets)

LME copper prices hit three-month lows at the start of the week but have rallied in the past few days. Instantly, it is trading at 0.5% higher than Thursday’s kerb price.

“Dip-buying appears to have emerged into the recent weakness in base metals prices, this fits in with our overall view to remain mildly bullish for the complex,” Metal Bulletin analyst William Adams noted. (FM)

 

Copper prices edging up

 

The three-month copper price rose by $28.50 to $5,651.50 per ton. While copper stocks fell by 50 ton to 268,400ton, with 11,025 of freshly re-warranted copper. Global refined copper market posted a surplus of 51,000t in January, the International Copper Study Group (ICSG) said in a monthly report on April 20.

 

Chile’s Codelco suspended operations at a concentrator plant at its Salvador copper mine after a supervisor died in an accident. The facility produced 60,000 tons of copper in 2016. (Reuters)

 

All other base metals see decline

Aluminium price in three-month report fell by $2 to $1,941 per ton as it restored above $1,900. Inventories were down 14,925t to 1,687,875t. Nickel’s three-month price fell by $35 to $9,445 per ton – nevertheless bouncing back from dips over the last few days.

Stocks for nickel increased by 5,208 t to 380, 946 t. Zinc price (3months) started trading at $2,621.50 per ton, down $10.50 on yesterday’s kerb. Inventories fell 1,300 tons to 355,150 tons.

“Data released by China’s NBS showed its domestic zinc production fell to 504,000 tons in March, the lowest level in a year as smelters conducted maintenance during the recent ore shortage,” ANZ Research said on Friday.

Lead was trading $6 lower this morning at $2,153.50 per ton. Stocks were down 500 tons to 167,175 tons.

Tin price in three-months fell $15 to $19,860 per ton as it failed to rally back above the $20,000 per ton mark. Inventories for tin were unchanged at 3,195 tons for the second day in a row.

 

Currency moves and data releases

  • Dollar index was down to 99.76, a 0.08% decrease.
  • The Brent crude oil spot price fell by 0.02% to $52.97 per barrel.
  • The UK FSTE 100 was up 2.58 to 7121.12.
  • In data, EU consumer confidence was -4 for April after being forecast at -5, while the CB leading index was 0.4% for March.
  • EU and US flash manufacturing and services PMI, EU current account, US existing home sales and UK retail sales are due.